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GMS云图结合天气图在奇异路径台风研究中的应用——8616号台风的分析
张俊峰1, 林晓能1, 吴迪生1, 宋 萍1
国家海洋局南海分局海洋预报台
摘要:
奇异路径的台风是最为复杂、最难以预报的天气形势,特别是8616号台风,其路径更为奇特,在海上回旋、停滞、打转、突然转向,持续时间长达23天之久,是历史上罕见的。本文利用GMS云图和天气图对其进行跟踪分析,在此基础上,着重对造成其路径复杂的主要原因进行分析归纳,得出了有一定参考价值的结论。
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THE APPLICATION OF GMS AND SYNOPTIC CHARTS IN TYPHOON’S STRANGR PATH——ANALYSIS OF NO. 8616 TYPHOON
Abstract:
Typhoon of anomalous track is the most complicated weather phenomenon and the most difficult to predict. The track of typhoon No. 8616 is especially strange, which rotated, stag nated, swung and changed directions suddenly on the sea. It lasted as long as 23 days, very rare in weather history. In this paper, on the basis of the GMS cloud atlas and the weather charts, the tracking analysis and the causes for its strange tracks are summed up. Rules for forecast are also given.
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