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关于鱼的生长方程的研究──Ⅱ.估计参数的一种新方法
赵维谦
青岛海洋大学应用数学系 青岛 266003
摘要:
目前描述鱼的体重生长的方程主要有(1)w=winfinity[1-e-k(t-t0)]3和作者对该方程推广而导出的方程(2) w=winfinity[1-e-k(t-t0)]r,本文对基于这两个方程的4种参数估计法,指出了其不足之处,并提出了一种估计参数的新方法——搜寻逼近法。该方法比前4种方法具有更好的拟合优度,通过实例计算得到进一步的证实。此外,还对鱼的样本资料的处理作了论述。这对更好的掌握鱼的生长规律、进而合理利用和开发渔业资源具有重要意义。
关键词:  鱼生长方程  参数估计  搜寻逼近法
DOI:
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基金项目:
STUDY ON THE FISH GROWTH EQUATIONII. A NEW METHOD FOR ESTlMATlNG PARAMETERS
Zhao Weiqian
Appied Mathematics Department, Ocean Unicerrity of Qingdao, Qingdao 266003
Abstract:
In present, for equations describing the growth of fish, one of them is derived by von Bertalanffy, i. e. equation (1);

w=winfinity[1-e-k(t-t0)]3 (1)

another is equation (2) derived by author (1994)

w=winfinity[1-e-k(t-t0)]r (2)

In this paper, four kinds of methods estimating, the parameters in equations (1), (2) are introduced. Meanwhile, it is pointed out that these methods have certain deficiencies: either the models used are not appropriate or the assumptions made are unrealistic. Thus, in this study a new method (search and approximation method) is put forward based on equation (2) and less assumptions. To do this; r is discreted and remainder error is taken as a scale. Then much better parameters are obtained by searching and approximating. On the basis of the measurered data of the Platycephalus indicus, the equation of the body weight growth is derived as follows:

w=1256.156[1-e-0.2297(t-0.28976)]1.44

Let (For the equations please see the PDF file.)

where w^ ij denotes the weight of the flathead at age i by using the kind j of methods, j=1, 2, 3, 4, 5. Thus, S1 = 88.13, S2 = 69.59, S3 = 78.71, S4 = 84.29, S5 = 65.46. Taking δj = (Sj - S5)/S5, δ1 = 35% , δ2 = 6% , δ3 = 20%, δ4 = 29%. Obviously, the search and approximation method is advantage to the other methods.

In addition, the process of the sample data corresponding this method is also discussed much better in this paper.

Key words:  Fish, Growth equation, Estimating parameter, New method
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