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引用本文:方剑,刘百桥,刘利东,黄秋双,付阳子.基于生命周期的区域围填海存量分析方法研究[J].海洋科学,2021,45(9):21-28.
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基于生命周期的区域围填海存量分析方法研究
方剑, 刘百桥, 刘利东, 黄秋双, 付阳子
天津师范大学地理与环境科学学院, 天津 300387
摘要:
为了更加客观地认识区域围填海存量特征、提高围填海存量处置的科学性,作者基于生命周期理论从时间和空间两个维度设计围填海存量分析方法,用围填海存量的年龄反映其持续历史、用围填海存量的时空规模反映围填海存量处置压力,选择曹妃甸经济区和天津南港工业区开展实证研究,结果表明:曹妃甸经济区围填海存量的空间规模虽大于天津南港工业区,但后者的时空规模即围填海存量的处置压力要大于前者。这一结果与人们的普遍认识相悖,说明在制定围填海存量处置策略时不仅要从空间上关注围填海存量空间规模,还要从时间维度关注其持续历史。
关键词:  生命周期  年龄  围填海存量  时空规模
DOI:10.11759/hykx20200907003
分类号:P74
基金项目:国家海洋公益性行业科研专项(201405025-3)
Study on analysis method of regional marine reclamation stock based on life cycle
FANG Jian, LIU Bai-qiao, LIU Li-dong, HUANG Qiu-shuang, FU Yang-zi
College of Geography and Environmental Science, Tianjin Normal University, Tianjin 300387, China
Abstract:
To more objectively understand regional marine reclamation stocks and deal with them more scientifically, this paper introduces an analysis method to evaluate the characteristics of regional marine reclamation stocks while considering temporal and spatial dimensions based on the life-cycle theory. The ages and temporal-spatial scales of marine reclamation stocks were used to predict their historic periods and disposal pressures, respectively. Empirical research was conducted on the Caofeidian Economic Zone and Tianjin Nangang Industrial Zone. It was shown that the Tianjin Nangang Industrial Zone with less spatial scale had larger total temporal-spatial scale of marine reclamation stock than the Caofeidian Economic Zone, which was contrary to the common public understanding. This finding suggests that strategies to deal with marine reclamation stocks should focus not only on their spatial scale but also on their history periods at each engineering status.
Key words:  life cycle  age  marine reclamation stock  space-time scale
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