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基于专利的海上风电技术分析
兰志刚
中海油研究总院
摘要:
本文在搜集德温特数据库中的专利信息的基础上,通过对比分析海上风电和其他海洋主要可再生能源的年专利信息,结合海上风电专利数量与碳减排压力以及年新增装机数量之间的相关性分析,对海上风电技术发展做了分析,归纳了海上风电的重点技术领域;本文还在专利信息分析的基础上,构建了海上风电技术成熟度预测分析模型,分析结果表明,海上风电技术发展迅速,目前整体的技术成熟度已达到0.87,已从成熟期进入饱和期。浮式风电作为一种具有替代性特征的新兴技术,也得到了快速的发展,目前的技术成熟度已达到0.54,刚从技术成长期进入技术成熟期。研究表明,利用专利分析技术和技术成熟度模型预测,可以对海上风电的重点技术领域进行有效分析,并对其技术成熟度进行分析和预测。
关键词:  海上风电  技术成熟度  专利分析
DOI:
分类号:
基金项目:
Analysis of Offshore Wind Technology Based on Patent Information
Zhigang Lan, Xinzhong Li, Gang Xiao, Cong Liu
CNOOC Research institute
Abstract:
Based on the patent information collected from the Derwent Innovation Database, this paper analyzes the annual patent information of offshore wind and other major ocean renewable energies, analyzes the correlation between the number of patents for offshore wind, the pressure of carbon emission reduction and the number of new installed capacity per year, analyzes the development of offshore wind power technology, and summarizes the key technological fields of offshore wind power. On the basis of patent information analysis, the paper constructs the prediction and analysis model of offshore wind technology. The results show that the offshore wind power technology has been developing rapidly, and the overall technology maturity of offshore wind has reached 0.87, which means it has entered the saturation stage from the mature stage. As a new alternative technology, floating offshore wind has also been developed rapidly. At present, the technology maturity of floating offshore wind has reached 0.54, which means it has just entered the mature stage from the technology expansion stage. The research shows that the patent analysis technology and technology maturity prediction can be effectively used to analyze the key technology fields of offshore wind power, and predict its technology maturity.
Key words:  offshore wind, technology maturity, patent analysis
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